BTC Price Prediction: Analyzing the Path to $175K Amid Market Volatility

#BTC

• Technical Strength: Bullish MACD momentum with strong support at $111,822 suggests limited downside risk
• Macro Tailwinds: Bitcoin's growing monetary share and adoption during debt crisis provide fundamental support
• Price Targets: Clear path to $118,000 resistance break with potential for $175,000 by year-end based on analyst projections

BTC Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: BTC Shows Bullish Momentum Above Key Support

BTC is currently trading at $115,391, slightly below the 20-day moving average of $116,760. The MACD indicator shows bullish divergence with a positive histogram of 582.40, indicating strengthening upward momentum. Bollinger Bands suggest BTC is trading NEAR the middle band with support at $111,822 and resistance at $121,698. According to BTCC financial analyst Ava, 'The technical setup suggests consolidation with a bullish bias. A break above $118,000 could trigger the next leg higher toward $125,000.'

Market Sentiment: Mixed Signals Amid Macroeconomic Backdrop

News flow presents a complex picture for Bitcoin. Positive developments include Bitcoin reaching 1.7% of global money supply amid central bank liquidity measures and accelerating adoption during the US debt crisis. However, regulatory concerns persist with Pennsylvania's proposed trading ban for officials. BTCC financial analyst Ava notes, 'The buy-sell ratio hitting cycle lows on Binance historically precedes bullish moves, while long-term holders locking in record profits indicates healthy market maturation. The $91M scam highlights ongoing security education needs.'

Factors Influencing BTC's Price

Bitcoin’s Slice of Global Money Hits 1.7% Amid Central Bank Liquidity Surge

Bitcoin has evolved from a niche digital curiosity to a $2.4 trillion monetary network in just 16 years, now commanding 1.66% of global money supply when measured against fiat M2 and gold. River's analysis positions BTC as a legitimate competitor to traditional stores of value, with its market cap trajectory outpacing centuries-old assets like gold and the dollar.

The Federal Reserve's monetary policy pivot at Jackson Hole underscores Bitcoin's bullish case. Powell's暗示 of rate cuts reinforces the narrative of fiat debasement, driving capital toward hard money alternatives. Unlike speculative crypto rallies, Bitcoin's growth reflects systemic adoption—a methodical rebalancing of global portfolios.

Pennsylvania Moves to Ban Officials From Trading Bitcoin

Pennsylvania lawmakers are pushing forward with legislation to prohibit state officials from trading Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. The bill aims to curb conflicts of interest and insider trading risks as digital assets gain regulatory attention. If enacted, it could set a precedent for other states, reshaping how public servants engage with crypto markets.

Meanwhile, the CFTC is accelerating its 'crypto sprint' initiative, signaling tighter oversight of the sector. The DOJ has also issued fresh guidance on decentralized platforms, reflecting growing institutional scrutiny. Stablecoins continue their global expansion, underscoring their rising role in finance.

Bitcoin Buy-Sell Ratio on Binance Hits Cycle Low: Bullish Signal?

Bitcoin's recent volatility has traders divided. After reaching a new all-time high above $124,000, the cryptocurrency retreated sharply below $115,000. While some fear a deeper correction, derivatives data suggests a potential bullish opportunity.

The Binance Taker Buy-Sell Ratio, a key indicator of market sentiment, has dropped to 0.95—its lowest level this cycle. Historically, such lows have preceded strong rebounds. The ratio measures aggressive buyers versus sellers, with values below 1 indicating bearish dominance.

Analyst Darkfost notes this metric reveals shifts in trader psychology by focusing on active participants willing to cross the spread. Current levels mirror past contrarian buying opportunities, hinting at a possible reversal.

Crypto Adoption Accelerates Amid US Debt Crisis

American public debt has surged to a record $37 trillion, casting doubt on the dollar's dominance as the global reserve currency. Bitcoin's rally past $124,000 underscores a growing pivot toward alternative assets as traditional markets waver.

Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF economist and Harvard professor, publicly reversed his decade-old skepticism of Bitcoin. "Almost ten years ago, I was the Harvard economist who claimed bitcoin was more likely to fall to $100 than reach $100,000," he conceded on social media platform X.

Macroeconomic pressures—including sustained high interest rates and stalled budget reforms—continue to erode confidence in fiat currencies. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's暗示可能在9月降息的言论 further fueled crypto market momentum.

Bitcoiner Loses $91M in Social Engineering Scam

A Bitcoin investor was defrauded of $91 million in a sophisticated social engineering attack, marking one of the largest crypto heists of 2025. The victim, deceived by impostors posing as support staff from a crypto exchange and hardware wallet provider, surrendered critical access details, leading to the loss of 783 BTC in a single transaction.

Blockchain investigator ZachXBT traced the stolen funds to Wasabi Wallet, a privacy-focused mixer used to obscure the transaction trail. Social engineering exploits human trust rather than technical vulnerabilities, making it a persistent threat in the cryptocurrency space. "This was a classic case of impostors posing as exchange and wallet support," ZachXBT noted, emphasizing the attacker's premeditated laundering strategy.

Eric Trump Expands Crypto Involvement with Metaplanet Visit and Bitcoin Price Predictions

Eric Trump is intensifying his engagement with digital assets, planning to attend Metaplanet's shareholder meeting in Tokyo while making bullish bitcoin price forecasts. The executive, who serves as a strategic adviser to the Japanese firm, predicts BTC could hit $175,000 by 2025 and eventually surpass $1 million.

His Asian tour follows a appearance at the Wyoming Blockchain Symposium, where he declared himself a "bitcoin maxi" and revealed spending over 50% of his time on crypto ventures. Trump argues blockchain technology solves critical pain points in traditional finance, particularly slow settlement processes.

The Financial Times reports Trump's American Bitcoin company is scouting for acquisitions of listed firms in Japan and Hong Kong to emulate MicroStrategy's treasury strategy. This move signals the Trump family's expanding crypto ambitions across Asian markets.

Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Lock in Record Profits Amid Bull Market Signals

Long-term Bitcoin holders are cashing out at unprecedented levels, according to Glassnode's latest on-chain analysis. The firm reports cumulative profit-taking has reached 3.27 million BTC this cycle—surpassing most previous bull markets. These seasoned investors typically hold through volatility but become active sellers when prices peak.

The Realized Profit indicator reveals a telling pattern: LTHs who resisted selling during downturns are now capitalizing on gains. Such behavior often precedes market tops, though analysts note each cycle has unique characteristics. The 155-day holding threshold remains the defining line between transient traders and committed believers in Bitcoin's value proposition.

Bitcoin Eyes $118,000 Breakout Amid Market Volatility

Bitcoin surged 2.42% to $115,712.68, with its market capitalization climbing to $2.3 trillion. The cryptocurrency faces a critical resistance level at $118,000, a breakout above which could reignite bullish momentum. Analysts suggest that overcoming this barrier is essential for sustaining the current rally.

Market sentiment remains fragile, with $470 million in crypto liquidations recorded, including $112 million in BTC positions. Liquidity inflows have been weak, contributing to a 10% drop from Bitcoin's all-time high on August 14. Despite these challenges, trading volume spiked 45.77% to $84.08 billion, signaling renewed interest.

Crypto analyst Ali highlights the significance of the $118,000 threshold. A decisive move above this level could restore investor confidence and propel Bitcoin higher. Failure to breach it, however, may lead to prolonged consolidation or further downside risks.

SOL Strategies CEO Predicts $175K Bitcoin by Year-End 2025

Bitcoin's relentless ascent continues to dominate financial discourse, with SOL Strategies CEO Leah Wald forecasting a $175,000 price target by December 2025. This projection, deemed "conservative" against more speculative estimates, hinges on institutional adoption and macroeconomic tailwinds.

The cryptocurrency briefly breached $124,000 earlier this year—a move that underscored Bitcoin's dual nature as both a maturing asset class and a vehicle for parabolic gains. Wald emphasizes that such volatility isn't anomalous but intrinsic to Bitcoin's market behavior.

Institutional momentum appears irreversible. BlackRock's embrace and Cathie Wood's public advocacy signal a paradigm shift, with traditional finance increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a strategic holding rather than a speculative gamble.

Bitcoin Liquid Staking Gains Momentum as Lombard Launches BARD Token and Foundation

Bitcoin, long revered as digital gold, is undergoing a transformation. Trillions of dollars worth of BTC have sat idle in wallets, detached from the yield-generating strategies of decentralized finance (DeFi). Liquid staking tokens are changing that narrative, turning bitcoin into a productive asset within onchain capital markets.

Lombard Finance has emerged as a key player in this shift. Its LBTC token, backed 1:1 by BTC, allows users to stake their bitcoin via protocols like Babylon while retaining liquidity. The staked BTC earns rewards, and the LBTC can be deployed across DeFi platforms such as Aave, Morpho, and Pendle.

This dual functionality bridges the gap between bitcoin's store-of-value ethos and the composability of DeFi. Holders maintain exposure to BTC's price appreciation while accessing lending, borrowing, and liquidity provision opportunities. The rise of liquid staking marks a pivotal moment for bitcoin's role in the broader crypto ecosystem.

Real Estate's Silent Crash in Bitcoin Terms

In a stark demonstration of Bitcoin's dominance as a store of value, a property purchased for 22.5 BTC in April 2023 has plummeted to just 4.85 BTC by August 2025—a 78% loss when measured against the cryptocurrency. The $570,000 fiat valuation masks this erosion, revealing real estate's fragility as a wealth preservation asset.

Global markets tell divergent stories. Mediterranean hotspots like Spain and Portugal post 7-8% annual gains, while North America and Europe face stagnant growth. UBS forecasts 2025 as a year of flat capital values, with residential sectors showing only modest recovery from 2022 declines.

The illusion of 15% nominal gains crumbles under inflation's weight. This silent crisis exposes fiat's erosion—where paper profits dissolve against hard money benchmarks. Bitcoin emerges not just as an alternative, but as the new measuring stick for true asset performance.

Is BTC a good investment?

Based on current technical and fundamental analysis, BTC presents a compelling investment opportunity with measured risk. The technical setup shows BTC consolidating above strong support at $111,822 with bullish MACD momentum. Fundamentally, Bitcoin's growing share of global money supply (1.7%) and accelerating adoption during macroeconomic uncertainty provide strong tailwinds.

While regulatory developments require monitoring, the overall trajectory suggests potential appreciation toward $118,000 near-term and possibly $175,000 by year-end according to analyst projections. Investors should consider dollar-cost averaging and maintain appropriate risk management.